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Bitcoin Plunge Causes $450M in Bullish Crypto Bets Liquidated

Crypto market capitalization dropped 5% on average as Middle East tensions flared up late Monday, denting growth in risk assets.

Updated Oct 2, 2024, 6:36 a.m. Published Oct 2, 2024, 6:29 a.m.
CROP 16:9 toy Teddy bear (Barrett Ward/Unsplash)
CROP 16:9 toy Teddy bear (Barrett Ward/Unsplash)
  • Nearly half a billion in bullish crypto bets were liquidated as the market buckled under geopolitical pressure.
  • Data from CoinGlass shows that 86% of traders are bullish going into October.

Futures tied to major tokens saw over $450 million in long liquidations in the past 24 hours as a bitcoin (BTC) plunge led to losses among major tokens, with some falling as much as 8%.

CoinGlass data shows that bitcoin traders betting on higher prices lost over $122 million, while bets on ether (ETH) lost nearly $100 million. Smaller alternative tokens (altcoins) recorded over $85 million in liquidations -- the highest such figures since July -- with memecoin pepe (PEPE) an unusually high $10 million in liquidations.

A liquidation occurs when an exchange forcefully closes a trader's leveraged position due to the trader's inability to meet the margin requirements. Large-scale liquidations can indicate market extremes, like panic selling or buying. A cascade of liquidations might suggest a market turning point, where a price reversal could be imminent due to an overreaction in market sentiment.

Global equities and risk assets such as bitcoin took a hit Tuesday as Iran launched missiles on key Israeli locations, with the latter threatening retaliation in the coming days. BTC slid to as low as $60,300 in its worst start to a historically bullish month late Tuesday, before recovering above $61,500 in Asian trading hours Wednesday.

The drop caused pain for futures traders, who took on their biggest losses since early August.

The data shows that nearly 86% of all futures bets were bullish. Traders were positioning for higher prices in the weeks ahead as October traditionally favors BTC, with only two negative months since 2013.

Market conditions in the past few weeks, including global monetary policies and U.S. political support, indicated a continued bullish trend, with some traders targeting $70,000 for BTC in the coming weeks.

Shaurya Malwa

Shaurya is the Co-Leader of the CoinDesk tokens and data team in Asia with a focus on crypto derivatives, DeFi, market microstructure, and protocol analysis. Shaurya holds over $1,000 in BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, SUSHI, CRV, NEAR, YFI, YFII, SHIB, DOGE, USDT, USDC, BNB, MANA, MLN, LINK, XMR, ALGO, VET, CAKE, AAVE, COMP, ROOK, TRX, SNX, RUNE, FTM, ZIL, KSM, ENJ, CKB, JOE, GHST, PERP, BTRFLY, OHM, BANANA, ROME, BURGER, SPIRIT, and ORCA. He provides over $1,000 to liquidity pools on Compound, Curve, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, BurgerSwap, Orca, AnySwap, SpiritSwap, Rook Protocol, Yearn Finance, Synthetix, Harvest, Redacted Cartel, OlympusDAO, Rome, Trader Joe, and SUN.

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