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Bitcoin Price Drop Leads to $250M Bullish Liquidations; Crypto Sentiment Indicator Signals Top

A tracker for market sentiment reached “extreme greed” levels on Thursday, which has historically preceded market corrections.

Updated Nov 1, 2024, 8:05 a.m. Published Nov 1, 2024, 7:15 a.m.
CDCROP: Liquidity Pool (Unsplash)
CDCROP: Liquidity Pool (Unsplash)
  • Bitcoin prices dropped nearly 4% in the last 24 hours, moving from $72,500 to just above $69,000, with the overall crypto market cap decreasing by 5.5%.
  • The Fear and Greed Index indicated "extreme greed" on Thursday, potentially signaling a market top. By Friday, the index showed "greed," suggesting further price corrections might occur.
  • Nearly 90% of the futures positions were long (expecting price increases), highlighting a bullish market sentiment before a sharp correction.

Bitcoin (BTC) price fell nearly 4% in the past 24 hours amid continual profit-taking ahead of the weekend, causing a wider market retreat that led to over $250 million in bullish bets liquidated.

BTC fell from $72,500 early Thursday to just over $69,000 early Friday, paring down gains made by the token since Monday. Other major cryptos fell in tandem, with overall market capitalization falling 5.5%.

Meanwhile, the widely-watched Fear and Greed Index, a sentiment and volatility tracker for the crypto market, flashed “extreme greed” levels on Thursday, historically a sign of local tops.

The index aims to measure emotional responses in the crypto market, highlighting that extreme fear might present buying opportunities, while extreme greed could signal an upcoming market correction. The index is flashing “greed” as of Asian afternoon hours Friday - suggesting prices could correct further.

The price caused pain for futures traders. Bets on BTC-tracked futures recorded $88 million in losses, CoinGlass data shows, followed by $44 million in liquidations on ether (ETH) futures and nearly $15 million in losses each on SOL and DOGE futures.

(Coinglass)
(Coinglass)

Nearly 90% of all futures bets were bullish, or expecting higher prices over the weekend ahead of the U.S. elections on November 5. Market conditions in the past few weeks, including global monetary policies and U.S. political support, indicated a continued bullish trend, with some traders targeting $80,000 for BTC in the coming weeks.

A liquidation occurs when an exchange forcefully closes a trader's leveraged position due to the trader's inability to meet the margin requirements. Large-scale liquidations can indicate market extremes, like panic selling or buying.

A cascade of liquidations might suggest a market turning point, where a price reversal could be imminent due to an overreaction in market sentiment.

The liquidations came as bitcoin open interest hit record high levels earlier this week at over $43 billion, dropping to just over $41 billion early Friday.

Shaurya Malwa

Shaurya is the Co-Leader of the CoinDesk tokens and data team in Asia with a focus on crypto derivatives, DeFi, market microstructure, and protocol analysis. Shaurya holds over $1,000 in BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, SUSHI, CRV, NEAR, YFI, YFII, SHIB, DOGE, USDT, USDC, BNB, MANA, MLN, LINK, XMR, ALGO, VET, CAKE, AAVE, COMP, ROOK, TRX, SNX, RUNE, FTM, ZIL, KSM, ENJ, CKB, JOE, GHST, PERP, BTRFLY, OHM, BANANA, ROME, BURGER, SPIRIT, and ORCA. He provides over $1,000 to liquidity pools on Compound, Curve, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, BurgerSwap, Orca, AnySwap, SpiritSwap, Rook Protocol, Yearn Finance, Synthetix, Harvest, Redacted Cartel, OlympusDAO, Rome, Trader Joe, and SUN.

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