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US Elections


Markets

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

By Sam ReynoldsOct 17, 2024

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

Opinion

Editorial: We Applaud Trump’s Crypto Efforts Though His Record, Rhetoric Raise Red Flags

The former president deserves credit for making crypto a campaign issue. We wish his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, would say more about it.

By Kevin ReynoldsOct 16, 2024

Editorial: We Applaud Trump’s Crypto Efforts Though His Record, Rhetoric Raise Red Flags

Markets

Bitcoin's Inverse Ties With Dollar Index Challenged as U.S. Election Looms

Traders seek upside exposure in BTC even as FX option indicate a bias a bullish bias for the dollar index.

By Omkar GodboleOct 16, 2024

Bitcoin's Inverse Ties With Dollar Index Challenged as U.S. Election Looms

Policy

Kamala Harris Speech Offers No Further Details on Crypto 'Regulatory Framework'

The vice president touted her "opportunity agenda" but did not drill down on what it would mean for digital assets during an appearance in Erie, Pa.

By Nikhilesh DeOct 14, 2024

Kamala Harris Speech Offers No Further Details on Crypto 'Regulatory Framework'

Markets

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

By Sam ReynoldsOct 14, 2024

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

Markets

Trump's New Administration Would Support Strong Dollar, Economic Advisor Says

A potential Trump presidency could bode well for one of BTC's top nemesis, the U.S. dollar.

By Omkar GodboleOct 14, 2024

Trump's New Administration Would Support Strong Dollar, Economic Advisor Says

Finance

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's

With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.

By Marc HochsteinOct 4, 2024

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's

Markets

Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan

Geopolitical risk and the upcoming U.S. election are likely to reinforce the 'debasement trade,' to the benefit of both bitcoin and gold, the report said.

By Will CannyOct 4, 2024

Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan

Policy

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts

Interactive Brokers' ForecastEx is also preparing presidential and Congressional contracts following the latest court defeat for the CFTC.

By Marc HochsteinOct 2, 2024

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts

Markets

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point on the prediction market, but is expected to carry most of the swing states.

By Sam ReynoldsSep 30, 2024

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

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