US Elections
Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
By Sam ReynoldsOct 17, 2024
Editorial: We Applaud Trump’s Crypto Efforts Though His Record, Rhetoric Raise Red Flags
The former president deserves credit for making crypto a campaign issue. We wish his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, would say more about it.
By Kevin ReynoldsOct 16, 2024
Bitcoin's Inverse Ties With Dollar Index Challenged as U.S. Election Looms
Traders seek upside exposure in BTC even as FX option indicate a bias a bullish bias for the dollar index.
By Omkar GodboleOct 16, 2024
Kamala Harris Speech Offers No Further Details on Crypto 'Regulatory Framework'
The vice president touted her "opportunity agenda" but did not drill down on what it would mean for digital assets during an appearance in Erie, Pa.
By Nikhilesh DeOct 14, 2024
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
By Sam ReynoldsOct 14, 2024
Trump's New Administration Would Support Strong Dollar, Economic Advisor Says
A potential Trump presidency could bode well for one of BTC's top nemesis, the U.S. dollar.
By Omkar GodboleOct 14, 2024
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
By Marc HochsteinOct 4, 2024
Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan
Geopolitical risk and the upcoming U.S. election are likely to reinforce the 'debasement trade,' to the benefit of both bitcoin and gold, the report said.
By Will CannyOct 4, 2024
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts
Interactive Brokers' ForecastEx is also preparing presidential and Congressional contracts following the latest court defeat for the CFTC.
By Marc HochsteinOct 2, 2024
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point on the prediction market, but is expected to carry most of the swing states.
By Sam ReynoldsSep 30, 2024