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US Elections


Policy

Even Temporarily Blocking Election Contracts Risks 'Irreparable' Harm, Kalshi Argues

Kalshi wants an appeals court to let it trade political prediction markets while the CFTC appeals its court loss.

By Nikhilesh DeSep 13, 2024

Even Temporarily Blocking Election Contracts Risks 'Irreparable' Harm, Kalshi Argues

Opinion

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.

By Aaron Brogan, Matthew HomerSep 13, 2024

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

Policy

Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss

Contracts offered to U.S. customers on who will control Congress only traded a few hours before being halted pending the appeal.

By Nikhilesh DeSep 13, 2024

Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss

Policy

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court

Contracts on which party will control the Senate and House went live Thursday shortly after a federal judge rejected the regulator's last-minute bid to block them.

By Cheyenne LigonSep 12, 2024

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court

News Analysis

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

By Marc HochsteinSep 12, 2024

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Opinion

Crypto Goes Unmentioned Again at Second Presidential Debate

The chances of crypto popping up were low. Still, it would have been nice.

By Nikhilesh DeSep 11, 2024

Crypto Goes Unmentioned Again at Second Presidential Debate

Policy

Harris Won U.S. Presidential Debate Versus Trump, Polymarket Betting Suggests

Crypto was once again not mentioned in the second 2024 debate, the first between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

By Nikhilesh De, Sam ReynoldsSep 11, 2024

Harris Won U.S. Presidential Debate Versus Trump, Polymarket Betting Suggests

Markets

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Traders see only a 17% chance that Donald Trump will say "crypto" or "bitcoin" and just 13% for Kamala Harris.

By Marc HochsteinSep 10, 2024

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Policy

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

The judge in the prediction market's court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator's motion for a two-week delay.

By Marc HochsteinSep 9, 2024

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

News Analysis

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.

By Sam ReynoldsSep 9, 2024

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

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